Another leftie friend told me last night that she now thought she might hold her nose and vote National. Now a month ago she was absolutely adamant she would vote Labour, but the sticking up for Winston is just a step too far for her.
The polls don’t really bear this out though – Labour’s core support remains remarkably stable. National are killing them in the polls and some of those votes come from Labour but most of their support comes at the expense of the minor parties – ACT, United Future and New Zealand First.
Maybe these anecdotal switches haven’t translated into poll results yet and in the upcoming weeks we’ll see Labour drop down into the mid-20′s.
It’s possible – however my experience in talking to pro-Labour friends over the past couple of weeks is that they’re as loyal as ever; they think Key is untrustworthy and that the media have been horribly unfair to poor Winston Peters. My impression is just as anecdotal (read worthless) as DPF’s but I think that Labour’s pro-Winston spin has been successful at maintaining the loyalty of many of their supporters.