In late December the Herald ran an opinion column by artist and former ACT Party candidate Lindsay Mitchell about a recent, high profile incident of child abuse. Mitchell argued that many victims of child abuse take place in families dependent on welfare, so the solution to preventing further abuse is to abolish the welfare system.
I made a comment about this article on Twitter and the Herald responded, advising me that if I wanted to submit a column of my own I was more than welcome to. So I sent them the following essay on fire safety confident that I was just as qualified to speak on this issue as Mitchell is to talk about welfare. The Herald has not acknowledged my submission so I reproduce the piece here:
A beloved child’s toy burned to a cinder. Photos of loved ones burned to ash. A beloved home, filled with beloved children’s toys and photos of loved ones, burned to cinder and ash. In the holiday season this is an all too common sight, and during this difficult time Kiwis rely on the New Zealand Fire Service to protect them in the event of a house fire. But is the Fire Service making the problem worse?
Although we like to think we’re fire safe as a nation, New Zealand might have the highest rate of house fires per capita in the OECD. Recent scientific studies from some of the world’s universities point to an overwhelming link between house fires and the presence of fire trucks and fire fighters. While political correctness trains us to think the Fire Service extinguishes fires, ground-breaking new research probably shows that the opposite happens.
That’s the view of Conor Welsh, a timber industry lobbyist. ‘There is no doubt the Fire Service incentivises people to set fire to their homes,’ Welsh explains. ‘Once people know they can drench themselves and their belongings with petrol and light a match, and that the state will come and put out the fire at no cost to the person who started it you have a situation where New Zealanders are encouraged to incinerate everything they own.’
The statistics bear out Welsh’s argument. Beneficiaries and low-income earners are four times more likely to burn down their homes than are high income, real New Zealanders – and the actual number might be even higher. Common sense teaches us that getting rid of the Fire Service will remove the incentive to start fires and thus reduce our shocking house fire statistics. But the Fire Service is protected by powerful political forces.
‘The New Zealand Fire-fighters Union is the barrier to reform in New Zealand.’ So says Roger Gibbs, spokesman for Fires First, a pyromaniac support group. ‘The NZFU is a radical and sinister trade union that puts the interests of its own members ahead of those of ordinary compulsive fire-starting Kiwis,’ Gibbs alleges.
By their own admission the New Zealand Fire Service has operated in this country since 1975 and the pattern of state controlled fire goes back even further – yet I assume the number of fires each year continues to rise and more than number to be sourced New Zealanders dies from fire every year. Surely this cannot be a coincidence.
So the path to reducing our disgraceful record of house fires is clear – the government must have the courage to stand up to the unionists and bureaucrats that want to maintain the status quo in which Kiwi families perish needlessly due to the monopolistic activities of the Fire Service. The National Government has committed to reducing deaths by fire – but do they have the courage to take the steps necessary to achieve this?
I remember reading that column and thinking how fucked up it was. Bravo, Danyl.
Comment by mjl — January 14, 2011 @ 7:01 am
I don’t agree with your conclusion. It’s clear that the real problem is not the Fire Service or the FS Union, but that we house beneficiaries in wooden homes. Put them in concrete cells with non flammable furniture and the problem is solved.
JC
Comment by JC — January 14, 2011 @ 7:09 am
Clearly far too fact-based to be acceptable for the Herald.
Comment by Sam — January 14, 2011 @ 8:18 am
The Herald’s problem was probably that it was not significantly different from the columns they usually print.
Comment by Helenalex — January 14, 2011 @ 9:10 am
JC – can we not just put them in converted containers? It’s much cheaper.
Comment by Bearhunter — January 14, 2011 @ 9:11 am
@JC: A top-down, government imposed solution? Communism! Abolish the fire service and soon the invisible hand (flame?) of the market will ensure that beneficiaries (and many others) will no longer live in flammable accommodation.
Comment by Donald Gordon — January 14, 2011 @ 9:12 am
For a while Marc Alexander was “Crime Prevention spokesman” for the sensible sentencing trust http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PO0607/S00087.htm. He resigned when he was selected to run for National, though personally I think the way he was looking to put out more press releases than McVicar was a factor.
He put out one saying the welfare state killed the Kahui twins http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PO0607/S00122.htm, which I was flabberghasted by here http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0607/S00207.htm.
I’m sure the idea has a longer history, but AFAIK the godfather of the recent wave was Theodore Dalrymple, who was once a prison psytchiatrist. Based on the rigour of his self-described process for this particular diagnosis, I pity the prisoners.
Comment by lyndon — January 14, 2011 @ 9:27 am
I forwarded this to some friends at the fire service – They lol’d.
Kudos.
Comment by Doggo — January 14, 2011 @ 10:53 am
Marvellous. You could have added in the dubious history of fire-fighting unions that went around starting fires unless you paid them not to.
I had a go at the Mitchell piece over at my blog. Admittedly, I have a pretty low opinion of opinion writers, but Mitchell’s argument gives that lot an even worse name.
Comment by Matthew Dentith — January 14, 2011 @ 11:13 am
‘yet I assume the number of fires each year continues to rise’
shrewd use of assumptions there. A less-experienced writer would have checked the figures and found that the number of house fires is falling, and would thus have found it much harder to reach the intended conclusion. Of course, I hasten to add, you’ve shown such skill that I’m sure you could have taken that in your stride and reached the intended conclusion anyway. But remember, unsubstantiated assumptions are your friend.
Comment by kahikatea — January 14, 2011 @ 11:22 am
You are playing with the concept of ‘induced demand’. It is true that in NZ we continually create solutions to problems that only serve to increase the problem. The existence of ACC comes to mind; it may be hard to accept but the creation of ACC has likely increased the number of accidents. (Some time ago a study was done in Britain during a nurses strike that found that over the period of the strike the number of emergencies significantly decreased). Think motorways; a road is built to service an existing demand for 100,000 cards per day; the day it opens 150,000 cars turn up to use it; the solution to the traffic problem itself induces demand.
Comment by Peter S — January 14, 2011 @ 11:57 am
“JC – can we not just put them in converted containers? It’s much cheaper.”
Cheaper yes.. but the buggers will still burn them. Besides, we need them for pensioner flats.
JC
Comment by JC — January 14, 2011 @ 12:28 pm
“Abolish the fire service and soon the invisible hand (flame?) of the market will ensure that beneficiaries (and many others) will no longer live in flammable accommodation.”
I like your thinking.
JC
Comment by JC — January 14, 2011 @ 12:36 pm
A less-experienced writer would have checked the figures and found that the number of house fires is falling
Which, of course, you haven’t bothered to substantiate in any way, either.
The way everyone’s throwing around unquantified assertions, you would think this was some kind of ‘blog.
Comment by Phil — January 14, 2011 @ 1:30 pm
Peter,
Short-term you’re wrong. Those extra 50,000 cars didn’t magic up out of nowhere. What additional volume they place on the new road is offset by lower volume elsewhere.
Longer-term, you’re absolutely right. But, the varying degree to which the ‘marginal vehicle purchaser’ changes their behaviour (and chooses to drive rather than take some other form of transport) is going to be nigh on impossible to quantify.
For the nurses strike, I’d argue that’s an incomplete result, until you know the severity of outcome from the lower quantity of emergencies. E.g.: was the death-rate any higher?
Comment by Phil — January 14, 2011 @ 1:38 pm
Brilliant post Danyl.
Comment by QoT — January 14, 2011 @ 2:22 pm
I am quite disappointed Danyl is only a junior researcher after all this time. I would have expected Executive Vice President for Community Relations by now.
Comment by Marsoe — January 14, 2011 @ 2:29 pm
You are playing with fire, Danyl
Comment by Phil — January 14, 2011 @ 2:35 pm
Very nice!
Comment by Matt Nolan — January 14, 2011 @ 3:39 pm
The Fire Service is a tax on those hard-working Kiwis who put out their own fires. I keep a bucket handy beside my bed every night.
Does remind me of recent news about that US city in which people have to pay a fire-tax in order to have their houses covered. Those without simply have their house burn.
Comment by George D — January 14, 2011 @ 5:23 pm
Phil wrote: “Short-term you’re wrong. Those extra 50,000 cars didn’t magic up out of nowhere. What additional volume they place on the new road is offset by lower volume elsewhere.”
They could have come out of people’s garages. In first-world cities with high public transport use, lots of people who go to work by public transport actually have cars at home (which they use for other purposes), so the rate of car use could increase suddenly if you created the incentive for it.
Comment by kahikatea — January 14, 2011 @ 5:26 pm
As the fire service protects against fire the welfare system protects against what? While your essay is obviously amusing and quite clever it doesn’t debunk anothers quite possibly stupid (I refuse to read Heralds’ Op Ed pieces) essay about welfarism however there is quite possibly a link between intergenerational welfarism and anti-social behaviour such as alcholism, drug abuse, general crime, child abuse and continuing cycles of violence and abuse. This may not fit with trendy lefty views but is an evident truth. This is bad for Phil Goff and Labour.
Comment by leon — January 14, 2011 @ 7:07 pm
I can see why Danyl had such a burning desire to write this. It’s sure to set the blogosphere aflame.
Comment by Andrew Geddis — January 14, 2011 @ 7:28 pm
gold. I thought it was a little over the top, but then I read the original again. Turns out I had forgotten how moronic her arguments were, and how she pulls ‘facts’ from thin air.
Comment by Mark — January 14, 2011 @ 7:47 pm
Oh dear god don’t read the Herald you’ll grow hair on the palms of your hands, Readers Wives is far more enlightening.
Comment by leon — January 14, 2011 @ 10:04 pm
Nice ironic writing. Reminds me of Jonathan Swift’s Modest Proposal.
Comment by Gerard — January 15, 2011 @ 10:36 am
Mitchell is quite right: if you stop paying folk to have babies, then they will, in all likelihood, reduce the number of babies they produce and or own:
– abortions (legal and illegal) will likely increase, especially those partial-birth
– the abuse will stop: all those existing unwanted children will meet a swift, mercilful, end and the abuse will cease and the death rate graph will look something like this; —–^_____ . A peak followed by a much reduced background level of toddler mortality.
So all good?
Comment by Clunking Fist — January 16, 2011 @ 1:10 pm
You are missing one thing to get this published in the Herald – you did not take a side swipe at Len Brown. Surely he is responsible for the lighting of the original fires, maybe a fire proponent? Work this in and redubmit – I am sure they will take it then.
Comment by Tim — January 18, 2011 @ 10:29 am
It’s like saying Crime would be less if there was no Police Force. What a jipp
Comment by Sean Norling — January 19, 2011 @ 11:25 am
I agree entirely with Mitchell. This piece is simply blatant reductio ad absurdum, and misrepresents Mitchell’s view entirely.
Comment by Zac — January 22, 2011 @ 12:56 pm