The Dim-Post

May 29, 2011

Chart o’ the evening, poll orgy edition

Filed under: polls — danylmc @ 7:48 pm

TVNZ and TV3 both published new polls tonight. DPF has the details at his CuriaBlog. This chart shows movement since their previous polls (which were both in early April). Numbers in parenthesis show average results across both polls.

Wait! DPF’s numbers are wrong! Gimme a minute . . .

Okay:

That makes a lot more sense than the previous chart.

About these ads

13 Comments »

  1. ACT 2.5% (+1.2%)

    Well done! Don Brash has doubled ACT Party support! Today 2.5%, tomorrow 42.5% and Prime Minister Brash as brilliantly predicted by political mastermind John Ansell

    Comment by Hobbes — May 29, 2011 @ 7:55 pm

  2. I noticed that according to Curiablog, TV3′s poll was done on Thursday night, whereas TV1′s was done over several days starting last weekend. I’d’ve said that Labour’s had a slightly better news week than usual, so perhaps that’s a factor in the discrepancy?

    Comment by Stephen — May 29, 2011 @ 9:14 pm

  3. The budget was a not a buy our votes budget and all the bounce labour can get is a couple of points.
    They are rooted i am looking forward to after the election so i can look up red alert and the standard

    Comment by graham lowe — May 29, 2011 @ 9:33 pm

  4. The amounts of change from the previous poll are different, but the support levels are very similar.

    Two reasons: the previous polls were taken at different times and the previous TV3 poll looked like a rouge, way out of line with the Roy Morgans.

    The two new polls are relatively in line with the Roy Morgan trends, although showing Labour quite a bit higher than the last Roy Morgan, which was taken before the budget.

    Comment by Deano — May 29, 2011 @ 10:49 pm

  5. It doesn’t surprise me that Act hasn’t had massive movement, considering there are no magic bullets in politics and it is a long game. What does surprise me is people actually expected a 10% or so result in week one.

    *Shakes head*.

    Comment by Nick K — May 29, 2011 @ 11:18 pm

  6. This is bad for whatshisname, the Labour leader guy.

    Comment by will — May 30, 2011 @ 7:41 am

  7. At least under brash act will stand for something. Not just rodney danceing and going on holidays with his girlfriend.
    I expect they will get 6% and national 47%

    Comment by graham lowe — May 30, 2011 @ 7:46 am

  8. The dates the polls were done over is based on usual practice, until I receive written results from the pollsters. TVNZ had their one out on Sunday night so I could specify their exact range.

    TV3 have yet to release, so for now I just put in the likely last day of polling. I update this when I get the full results.

    Comment by dpf — May 30, 2011 @ 8:10 am

  9. Who is this “Labour Leader Guy” you speak of Will? Mallard or Che Goffvera??

    Comment by abel the amish — May 30, 2011 @ 8:45 am

  10. Pretty sure the movements on Curia are incorrect. You’ve got the TVNZ poll showing change for Labour and Greens but according to their site there was no movement.

    Comment by danylmc — May 30, 2011 @ 8:46 am

  11. It will be interesting to see how long the voter group doublethink over National can be sustained. Supporting National because people like John Key but not supporting National on any of its actual policies is a putting an increasing strain on voter’s cognitive fault lines.

    National will be hoping the seismic shift event won’t occur until after November. Labour will have to come up with a way of bringing on the earthquake earlier than that.

    Comment by Sanctuary — May 30, 2011 @ 9:55 am

  12. Supporting National because people like John Key but not supporting National on any of its actual policies is a putting an increasing strain on voter’s cognitive fault lines.

    An actual tweet, by an actual voter, this morning:

    “What I love about John Key…he has no airs and graces. Here he is before going on Breakfast ironing his own tie & jacket!!”

    (picture supplied, but I’ll spare you)

    Comment by sammy — May 30, 2011 @ 10:08 am

  13. Who the hell irons their suit jacket?

    Comment by garethw — May 30, 2011 @ 10:33 am


RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

The Rubric Theme Blog at WordPress.com.

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 336 other followers

%d bloggers like this: