With all the talk about the unaffordability of the benefit system in general, and the swarthy, dusky-eyed promiscuous whores on the DPB whose numbers have swollen to threaten to bring down the entire economy in specific, I thought I’d take a look at DPB and unemployment beneficiary numbers as a percentage of the total population over the last couple decades.
I don’t know about you, but I don’t get a real sense of crisis from looking at these trends. Unemployment is obviously linked to macro-economic conditions, the DPB much less so. I suspect the dip in the mid 2000s is down to the introduction of WFF rather than the global liquidity boom.
Looks to me as if the status quo for at least the last twenty-two years (the Department of Stats only serves up data back to 1990), is that at any given time roughly 2.7% of the population is a solo-mother on this benefit, that they generally transition off it pretty quickly (66% have been on for less than four years – I’d love to know what the median duration on this benefit is, but MSD doesn’t make that information publicly available).
We’re currently below the historic average, again, probably because of WFF. In contrast, the statistics around manufactured crisis seem historically high.
(And, contra the title of this post, 97.3% of DPB recipients are 20 or older.)