We’re going to see a lot of this from the Republican Party and associates over the next few months – I’d suggest that racism, both explicit and coded is pretty much all we’re going to hear. And ultimately that hurts the GOP and McCain. Lot’s of people aren’t going to vote for Obama because of his ethnicity but those people are – for the most part – already paid up Republicans. They’ll love this badge but many, many swing voters won’t.
Obama is wide open to criticism about his protectionist trade policies, lack of experience – especially when it comes to continuing to fight unsuccessful wars on two fronts – and a number of other issues. But if all the swing voters hear about is that the Democrat is a nigger; that’s not going to be enough.
I’ve also been interested in the McCain campaign to woo Clinton’s female supporters – this might even work in the short term, but ultimately it seems like a waste of time. While the story of McCain’s first marriage is well known to politics junkies (his wife was disfigured in a car accident so McCain left her for a much younger woman) its not really out there in the same way that, say, the problems with Obama’s pastor are. Not yet, at least. The Democrats will make sure we hear a lot about McCains past over the next few months and that’s going to kill any chances he has with winning more than a handful of Hilary supporters.