I take back what I said earlier. As details emerge of the terror attacks in Mumbai it is hard not to conclude that they were directed by a state intelligence or military. The prime suspect would have to be Pakistan’s notorious Inter-Services Intelligence, an agency often described as a ‘state within a state’ with longstanding links to the Taliban and Al Qaeda, as well as Kashmiri seperatists and Islamic terror organisations within India.
If this turns out to be the case then the consequences for Pakistan and its government – which has close to zero control over its rogue intelligence apparatus – will probably be dire, especially if (as seems likely) more westerners are revealed to have been killed in the attacks.
In July of this year the Indian embassy in Kabul was attacked by suicide bombers killing 58 people, an operation that was almost certainly directed by the ISI. Last night, at the same time the attacks in Mumbai were underway suicide bombers attacked the US embassy in Kabul targeting the Thanksgiving celebrations.
It’s hard to imagine how India and the west can respond to this: Pakistan is the front-line in the war on terror and a frighteningly unstable nuclear armed state. This can’t end well.