This chart shows the movements in the TVNZ and TV3 polls released this weekend. Roy Morgan also released another poll, but I think they’re too erratic – the previous poll had a massive decline for Labour, this one shows a dramatic reversal, and their poll numbers have leapt around wildly all year.
The conventional wisdom amongst the pundits is that the voters are ‘switched off’ to politics. Us dullards in the general public can only concentrate on one thing at once, and right now that thing is the Rugby World Cup. But these polls follow the same general trend of the last few months: Labour are losing support to National and the Green party. People are paying attention.