Even if New Zealand First’s high result in the Herald poll is just an outlier, it’s still significant because it sends a signal to other potential NZF voters that their vote might not be wasted, as it was in the last election.
I’m really torn here. I despise Peters and I don’t want to see him back in Parliament. But I also want to see Key and Joyce punished for their hubris and jaw-dropping strategic ineptitude, and Winston Peters is an awesomely perfect instrument of vengeance. If Joyce were running the Green Party campaign, Russel Norman would still be fronting up to press conferences about billboard vandalism, fielding questions about ‘what he knew when’ and angrily demanding the media write stories about something else.