There’s a good overview in the Herald about climate change ahead of the Paris conference and the global climate march today.
Back in the early days of climate change activism there was a big emphasis on catastrophic sea-level rises, which will certainly be a big problem in the decades to come. But now that we’re actually living in a climate changed future it’s apparent that the present threat is from ‘extreme weather events.’ Droughts. Heatwaves. Floods. Storms. Mass extinctions. And the fallout from these will be political and economic. Recessions. Resource scarcity. Conflict. Many, many more refugees, everywhere. Problems we already have today and cannot solve. There won’t be a tipping point when the world suddenly ‘wakes up’ and realises it needs to get serious about climate change. Things will continue to be basically like they are now but gradually and incrementally worse.
I don’t think there is any hope of the Paris Climate Conference preventing that or accomplishing anything. It is just an opportunity for the governments of the world to pretend to be doing something. I will mostly ignore it. It won’t matter. I am going on the climate march today, even though I don’t like going on marches. I’m an introvert and being around large groups of people stresses me out. Also, these things tend to be dominated by the activist left who I think are basically just crazy, and I don’t like marching alongside idiots wearing Guy Fawkes masks and waving around placards with Key’s face and a swastika on it, or ‘9/11 was an inside job’ billboards.
It is worth doing anyway, I think, because at least it’s something rather than nothing. It’s a signal to the future that we weren’t all morons (‘There’s no climate change – it was cold last winter!’). At least we can tell subsequent generations that our political systems were broken but we still did what we could.