The Dim-Post

December 8, 2015

Wrong again

Filed under: Uncategorized — danylmc @ 5:25 am

Contra me a week ago, Judith Collins is back in Cabinet! My argument that she wouldn’t return was predicated on the idea that she’s high risk. But I guess for Key pretty much nothing is high risk. If anything goes wrong in Collins’ portfolios they can just insist that it hasn’t.

25 Comments »

  1. And they want someone who seems strong to stop Kelvin Davis getting all these bloody headlines.

    Comment by Myles T — December 8, 2015 @ 5:46 am

  2. I think they want someone to sort out Seco.

    Comment by Richard Williams — December 8, 2015 @ 5:57 am

  3. Look how little talent they have. Parata, Tolley, Lotu-Iiga. They needed her.

    Comment by Wurble — December 8, 2015 @ 6:44 am

  4. Comment by Lee Clark — December 8, 2015 @ 6:46 am

  5. Will she give up her sponsored car?

    Comment by Sanctuary — December 8, 2015 @ 7:25 am

  6. “…Look how little talent they have. Parata, Tolley, Lotu-Iiga. They needed her…”

    Cue Audrey Young piece praising Key’s caucus as the most talented since the second world war.

    Comment by Sanctuary — December 8, 2015 @ 7:43 am

  7. Does this reset her ‘very last chance, absolutely last chance, if you do it one more time that will be your chance, next time I mean it’ counter to zero?

    Comment by Pascal's bookie — December 8, 2015 @ 8:14 am

  8. Maybe Key got fed up with her popping up in the media white anting the Government at every opportunity, and decided to put her on a shorter leash. Whatevs, it’s political popcorn time. Its a shame iPredict got taken down, it would have been fun to see the odds on how long it is before the PM is forced to express his total and unconditional confidence in her. I’d pick 6 months, max.

    Comment by Nick R — December 8, 2015 @ 8:42 am

  9. > I think they want someone to sort out Seco.

    Except that she caused Serco.

    Comment by Onsos — December 8, 2015 @ 8:53 am

  10. Key needed her in the tent, pissing out. The other option was her outside the tent, pissing in.

    Comment by Onsos — December 8, 2015 @ 8:54 am

  11. Will she give up her sponsored car?

    Yep, she’s giving it up, as well as giving up her SST column and her slot on the Paul Henry show. She says she will never again be a very naughty girl.

    Comment by Ross — December 8, 2015 @ 9:39 am

  12. One of the skills of being a good manager, perhaps the most important skill, is recognising and utilising talent in others. Often high performing people need careful managing, but if you can bring it off the they are worth the extra hassle. I imagine that Key believes that Collins is and asset worth the trouble

    Comment by BOF — December 8, 2015 @ 10:03 am

  13. Her time for reflection while outside cabinet has led her to the realisation that she was working too hard.

    Comment by McNulty — December 8, 2015 @ 10:04 am

  14. Its often forgotten that Collins is the ‘tethered goat’ that attracts some well heeled financial backers to National in Auckland. She no doubt has been busy during her time for reflection doing the calls and making sure that the regional nomenklatura in Auckland are aware that that sums of money are being held back till ‘our Judith’ is back in the fold.

    Comment by dukeofurl — December 8, 2015 @ 10:19 am

  15. Often high performing people need careful managing, but if you can bring it off the they are worth the extra hassle

    True. But evidence of Collins performing highly is hard to find. Unless “attracting headlines” is the sole measurement of competence.

    Like Labour’s (ex) Shane Jones, her alleged abilities are simply asserted by the press gallery, which seems to have more to do with their desire for entertainment than anything else.

    Comment by sammy 3.0 — December 8, 2015 @ 10:55 am

  16. Often high performing people need careful managing, but if you can bring it off the they are worth the extra hassle. I imagine that Key believes that Collins is and asset worth the trouble.

    Here’s the thing; Collin’s is neither high performing (except in terms of relative performance) nor been had been publicly rehabilitated. She’s also disloyal and toxic in terms of public perception.
    If she needed “careful management” then the time to stage her return would have been after she was cleared of wrongdoing. That didn’t happen. What she does have though is a strong residual power base in the party, which has been cashed in for a seat at the big table.
    What’s not worth the trouble to Key is the continual white-anting.

    Comment by Gregor W — December 8, 2015 @ 11:04 am

  17. *nor has been

    Comment by Gregor W — December 8, 2015 @ 11:05 am

  18. It just shows how weak Key’s position in his party’s factions has become.

    Comment by Sacha — December 8, 2015 @ 11:23 am

  19. “If anything goes wrong in Collins’ portfolios they can just insist that it hasn’t.”

    Judith Collins is a figure of much derision amongst the opposition. Everything she does might well be criticised, just because she is Judith Collins. Unless the opposition demonstrates much more discipline than anyone is really expecting, the government won’t need to do anything when something goes wrong in her portfolios. If the issue gets raised as the 1st, 2nd, 3rd attack it will be devastating, but if it is used in the 8th, 15th, 22nd attack no one will care.

    Comment by unaha-closp — December 8, 2015 @ 1:10 pm

  20. >Does this reset her ‘very last chance, absolutely last chance, if you do it one more time that will be your chance, next time I mean it’ counter to zero?

    Yup. She already had her time out.

    Comment by Ben Wilson — December 8, 2015 @ 3:32 pm

  21. She’s obviously effective or she wouldn’t be back in. When Labour is back in power we can see how many stubbed toes the red teams shallow talent pool dishes out.

    Comment by Richard Williams — December 9, 2015 @ 12:00 am

  22. She’s obviously effective or she wouldn’t be back in

    I’m not sure of your logic. It’s like saying that someone released by the Parole Board is safe otherwise they wouldn’t be released. We know that isn’t always the case.

    Collins has been effective at getting headlines for all the wrong reasons, so in that sense you are right.🙂

    Comment by Ross — December 9, 2015 @ 7:29 am

  23. “National will quite likely come to regret allowing Collins back into Cabinet. The rest of us should regret how easily they could spin the news to justify doing so.” ~ Nicky Hager

    http://www.pundit.co.nz/content/spinning-the-return-of-judith-collins

    Comment by Ross — December 9, 2015 @ 8:01 am

  24. If I was incredibly cynical, I would suggest watching *everything but Judith* for a short while; Key’s media strategy seems to be *throw out a big distraction* whenever something happens that people might object to; on past performance.
    So, what I’d be looking for is:
    – unannounced changes to important legislation, for instance to do with the COP21 negotiations, which the current Minister will conclude before flying off to his new golden parachute position.
    – something in the TPPA final draft that has been overlooked so far, that was legislatively prepared for in the raft of urgency legislative amendments passed before COP21.
    – all of the above, rolled up in special powers for Police and Corrections (the big cynical bet).

    Of course, I may just be too cynical for your tastes, or personal ability to distrust this government!😀

    Comment by anarkaytie — December 9, 2015 @ 8:13 am

  25. National is getting used to high poll ratings no matter what they do. Their voters just aren’t paying any attention. Let’s see how far they will go……it looks to be pretty far.

    Comment by Steve Withers — December 9, 2015 @ 9:59 am


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